Met Office 10-day trend: Mild November continues as unsettled weather approaches

Met Office 10-Day Trend: Mild November Continues as Unsettled Weather Approaches

Early November has brought unusually mild conditions to the UK, with temperatures significantly above the seasonal norm. However, the Met Office’s latest 10-day forecast indicates that this mild and calm phase is due to shift toward more unsettled and variable weather as the new week begins.

Jet Stream Influence

The current pattern is shaped by a highly wavy jet stream across the Atlantic. This dynamic flow has produced several dips and troughs, one of which stretches down toward Iberia. In the coming days, the trough is expected to deepen, keeping low pressure systems positioned to the south and gradually pushing them toward the UK.

Weekend and Next Week Outlook

As the weekend approaches, another dip in the jet stream is forecast to form, creating a broader trough over the Atlantic. The alternating weakening and amplification of the jet stream will contribute to slow-moving weather systems. This will set up a tug-of-war between low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east of the UK.

Unseasonably Mild Temperatures

One striking feature of the current spell is the warmth. Daytime highs on Thursday are forecast to reach between 15°C and 17°C—around six to seven degrees above average for early November. Even Bonfire Night 2025 proved remarkable, with overnight lows staying at a record 14°C.

“Temperatures are expected to remain mild before more unsettled weather develops toward the weekend,” said the Met Office report.

Summary

Persistent mild air and a wavy Atlantic jet stream are keeping the UK unusually warm for November, but cooler, wetter conditions are on the horizon as pressure patterns shift.

Author’s summary: A mild but brief November respite will soon make way for more unsettled weather as the Atlantic jet stream reshapes the UK’s forecast pattern.

Met Office — 2025-11-07